Mid-major home dogs
Mid-major home dogs getting 5+ historically cover around the coin-flip mark. Limited data and sharp lookahead make our heuristic edge larger here than in major-conference play.
/ PICKS / NCAAB
College Basketball AI Picks
with SHAP explainability
Regular Nov-Mar, Tournament Mar-Apr
NCAAB is the highest-volume sports market - many games means many soft lines, especially mid-majors and tournament play.
College Basketball markets we cover
Pace-adjusted totals
Kenpom-adjusted tempo vs Vegas totals - we flag when the book is 3+ possessions off true pace projection.
Points + assists + rebounds
Elite-program PG PRA props most mispriced. Usage-rate + pace + opposing defense combo model.
March Madness first-round
12-5 upsets hit 35% historically. we flag which 12 seed has the tools.
BEST SPORTSBOOKS FOR NCAAB
FanDuel for spread speed, DraftKings for player props on elite programs, Circa for respected action.
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